Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.001349 0.001509 0.001668 0.001839 0.002016 0.002194 0.002386
2025-10-19 0.001088 0.001318 0.001555 0.001815 0.002091 0.002373 0.002682
2025-10-26 0.000880 0.001161 0.001459 0.001793 0.002154 0.002529 0.002945
2025-11-02 0.000709 0.001027 0.001375 0.001773 0.002210 0.002670 0.003187
2025-11-09 0.000572 0.000918 0.001307 0.001763 0.002271 0.002812 0.003424
2025-11-16 0.000461 0.000828 0.001254 0.001762 0.002337 0.002954 0.003658
2025-11-23 0.000369 0.000750 0.001207 0.001764 0.002400 0.003091 0.003883
2025-11-30 0.000322 0.000722 0.001217 0.001827 0.002530 0.003298 0.004182
2025-12-07 0.000249 0.000653 0.001171 0.001821 0.002580 0.003413 0.004377
2025-12-14 0.000175 0.000570 0.001102 0.001784 0.002589 0.003481 0.004519
2025-12-21 0.000138 0.000538 0.001093 0.001817 0.002678 0.003636 0.004754
2025-12-28 0.000095 0.000485 0.001055 0.001810 0.002719 0.003734 0.004926
2026-01-04 0.000049 0.000424 0.001016 0.001821 0.002801 0.003904 0.005205
2026-01-11 0.000012 0.000352 0.000957 0.001805 0.002851 0.004040 0.005449
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000286 0.000899 0.001787 0.002900 0.004173 0.005690
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000227 0.000844 0.001770 0.002946 0.004302 0.005926
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000179 0.000799 0.001762 0.003002 0.004442 0.006173
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000140 0.000762 0.001762 0.003066 0.004590 0.006428
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000107 0.000728 0.001765 0.003131 0.004737 0.006681
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000096 0.000739 0.001828 0.003271 0.004971 0.007033
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000068 0.000703 0.001823 0.003324 0.005101 0.007263
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000037 0.000647 0.001786 0.003334 0.005180 0.007434
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000026 0.000640 0.001819 0.003433 0.005363 0.007723